6. Adrian Peterson
We all have been hearing about how good Adrian Peterson looks this off-season. How he is a freak of nature and he’s going to come back better than ever after getting a year off. If this is all true, then Peterson should be able to justify being drafted in the first three picks of your fantasy draft. The problem is what if Adrian Peterson isn’t superhuman? What if he is like almost every other running back to play in the league? The history of successful runners at Peterson’s age is very small and few players have been able to come back from a full year off and perform at their old level. If you are drafting in the first half of the first round, you want a sure thing. Is Adrian Peterson still a sure thing?